Here’s Your September 2026 – February 2027 Weather Forecast

  • Environment / Climate Change
  • September 3, 2026

kenya meteorological department forecasts a dry september 2026 across many parts of kenyaAs you plan your activities, especially agricultural ones, in Kenya, don’t forget to factor the weather into them as forewarned is forearmed.
1). The El Niño weather phenomenon is firmly established and will intensify into a very strong event in the coming months, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) of the United Nations says
2). WMO forecasts show 100% likelihood that El Niño will persist through February 2027
3). A very strong El Niño ≠ same impacts everywhere

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The El Niño weather phenomenon is firmly established and will intensify into a very strong event in the coming months, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) of the United Nations says4). Meanwhile Kenya Meteorological Service Authority (KMSA) forecasts a dry September to usher in a wet October – December with an 80% certainty of an El Niño weather phenomenon
5). September marks the climatological transition period from the June-July August season that is generally dry over most parts of the country, to the October November-December short rainfall season

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6). Trans Nzoia, Bungoma, Busia, Kakamega, Siaya, Vihiga, Nandi, Uasin-Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, Kisumu, Kericho Nyamira, Kisii, Bomet, Migori, Homa Bay, parts of Narok, West Pokot, Baringo, Mombasa, Kwale, Kilifi, Lamu and coastal parts of Tana River counties are likely to receive rainfall due to the influence of the local moisture sources (Lake Victoria & Indian Ocean), topographic uplift, Congo air inflow and jet‑induced convergence that sustain convection.
#rain #drought #weather #elnino #kenya

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